Saturday 16 August 2014

Namibia's adoption of the open skies policy could increase GDP by millions

Namibia is among a group of African nations which could achieve further economic growth by liberalising their air space, a new report says.
Member states could see their annual Gross Domestic Product grow by the millions, annually, and thousands of jobs created with the adaptation of an open skies policy, a liberal market between signatory states allowing airlines unlimited rights to fly.

The new report released this month by the International Air Transport Association (IATA), in partnership with regional associations AFCAC and AFRAA, outlines the benefits African nations would gain by implementing a liberalised policy and uses 12 key markets as examples. These are: Algeria, Angola, Egypt, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Namibia, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, Tunisia and Uganda.

According to the study, if Namibia adopts the open skies policy, the GDP could additionally grow by US$94,2 million and create 10 600 jobs.

Air Namibia has yet to react to the report. The Namibian approached them for comment last week but by yesterday no reaction had come through.

Air transport plays a crucial role in driving economic and social developments in Africa through enhanced connectivity. However, regulations have made it difficult to provide inter-connectivity in the region.

“Governments should support the growth of the industry by fully liberalising African skies as intended by the Yamoussoukro Decision, while providing other facilitator assistance like implementing global standards in safety, security and regulations, reducing high charges, taxes and fees and removing visa requirements for ease of movement across the continent,” said the secretary general of African Airlines Association (AFRAA), Elijah Chingosho.

According to the report, if the 12 countries were to adapt an open skies policy they would create 155 000 extra jobs in the market and grow the combined annual GDP of the nations by US$1,3 billion. Five million additional passengers a year would fly.

Africa agreed, in principle, to an open skies policy 26 years ago with the signing of the Yamoussoukro Declaration. The lack of implementation saw member states, under the Africa Union umbrella, come up with the 1999 Yamoussoukro Decision, which looks at what its implementation would mean for African economies. It called for the deregulating of air services and opening regional air markets.

GROWTH ‘STUNTED’

The secretary general of the African Civil Aviation Commission (AFCAC), Iyabo Sosina, says by not adopting the Yamoussoukro Decision, African countries are not only holding back growth in the aviation sector but their economies.

Additional growth could have a trickle down effect on the economy with other sectors gaining including the farmers who supply their produce to catering companies who work with airlines. Liberalisation leads to increased air services, which in turn facilitate growth in the sectors of the economy by supporting increased trade, attracting new businesses to the region, encouraging investment and enhancing productivity.

“It is essential that African governments use aviation as a critical driver of social and economic development,” said IATA’s director general and CEO, Tony Tayler. “Greater connectivity leads to greater prosperity.”

With a population of more than one billion people, untapped resources and poor infrastructure, the potential for aviation in Africa is big. Countries treat regional airlines with suspicion opting to open up, instead, to other third countries and not to each other.

There has been evidence in Africa where countries have liberalised their air markets and have seen substantial growth. An example is between Kenya and South Africa where, according to the report, liberalising the air market between the two countries in 2000, led to a 69% rise in passenger traffic.

Today, the route is served by five direct flights daily operated by Kenya Airways and South African Airways, in addition to services provided by RwandAir, EthiopianAir and LAM of Mozambique among other African carriers through their hubs. This has seen more competitive prices on the route and helped grow tourism for the two destinations with Kenya being one of South Africa’s key source tourist markets in the region.

MORE COSTLY THAN EUROPE

The report shows one of the advantages would be the cost of flying across the continent coming down, with a benefit from fare reduction of between 25% and 35%.

“Liberalisation can lead to increased air service levels and lower fares, which in turn stimulates additional traffic volumes, facilitate tourism, trade, investment and other sectors of the economy and bring about enhanced productivity, economic growth and increased employment,” the report said.

Interconnectivity in Africa is said to be more expensive than travelling to Europe or the Middle East in some instances. This has been attributed to the lack of competition and the cost of operations in the region mainly hampered by price of fuel and taxes.

Fuel, one of the major headaches in the aviation sector, accounting for up to 40% of operational costs, is more expensive in Africa compared to other markets. African airlines pay about 21% more for jet fuel than the global average. This makes African airlines less competitive compared to other rival carriers which have been expanding their reach in Africa. In the past five years there has been increased frequencies from European carriers and especially Middle East ones who have positioned themselves to connect the continent through their hubs.

There is always concern that liberalisation will harm profitability of existing national carriers. The report says though there would be an impact initially there are major growth opportunities, especially on volumes.

Tayler said beyond economic growth liberalisation of the aviation sector “is a force for good and plays a major role in helping to reach the African Union’s mission of an integrated, prosperous and peaceful Africa”.

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